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Publication Highlights

Reflections and commentary on articles appearing in ISLA by Karen Crump, Chief Editor.

Highlights from our January 2007 issue

Guatemala

     “Guatemala still fights war legacy,” by Adriana Beltran appeared in the commentary section of the Miami Herald, January 2, 2007 (ISLA, January 2007, page 53.) Beltran launches her commentary by acknowledging the anniversary of the signing of peace accords in Guatemala. However, the focus of her article is on-going violence in Guatemala, violence linked to armed clandestine groups operating with impunity. Guatemala has called upon the UN for help in identifying and controlling armed actors, which the UN has agreed to provide. This is an important step forward, as noted by Beltran. The task will not be easy, and has not been left unexplored. Luis Solano’s recently published book, Guatemala: petroleo y mineria en las entranas del poder, digs deeply into the topic, revealing a vicious web firmly entrenched in Guatemalan society, most notably the upper echelons of society and the military. This is a hot topic given little space in the press. Beltran’s article is a refreshing example of the virtues of op-ed contributions.

Mexico

     Although Washington Post coverage of Latin America has declined precipitously over 2006, a trend we hope will change in 2007, they have included some exceptional reporting.  Perhaps Peter Goodman’s  January 7, 2007 article, “In Mexico, ‘People Do Really Want to Stay” (ISLA, January 2007, page 29) presages a better year to come. Goodman documents the correlation between NAFTA and immigration, looking ahead to changes in the poultry sector. He carefully outlines the imbalances of trade with a nation (the U.S.) that heavily subsidizes agriculture and how this will impact Mexico’s poultry industry, and immigration. Both immigration and trade are bound to be major issues throughout 2007.

Nicaragua

     “Nicaragua’s green lobby is leaving rainforest people ‘utterly destitute’” by Rory Carroll, January 25, 2007, the Manchester Guardian Weekly (ISLA, January 2007, page 68.) The Manchester Guardian Weekly has a longstanding tradition of including cutting edge environmental coverage on a regular basis. This article is short on documentation, while groundbreaking in coverage. Needless to say, with an Ortega win at the polls, the press has not been concentrating on the rainforest. Nevertheless, the bottom line of Carroll’s article resonates throughout Latin America and needs to be understood abroad: the forests are inhabited by a myriad of indigenous communities and have been for millenium. Simply setting the forests and jungles aside as untouchable reserves is not an option in Latin America. Carroll highlights the immediate impact of well-meaning, poorly thought out policies on indigenous communities in Nicaragua, in this case the Miskitos. The Miskitos appear to be enmeshed in the ultimate irony: imperiled by both deforestation and forest protection measures.

Bolivia

Keeping up with Wall Street Journal attacks on Latin American democracies can be a challenge for regional ambassadors. While actual reporting on Latin America may vary in the Journal from a trickle one month, to a deluge the next, the always acerbic and frightfully prolific writing of Mary Anastasia O’Grady are omnipresent. O’Grady carefully selects information that suits her argument. The information she doesn’t include is glaring in its absence and often elicits a strong response from diplomats. O’Grady’s January 8, 2007 piece, “Coca Democracy” (ISLA, January 2007, pp. 142-143) hit a nerve with Gustavo Guzman, Ambassador of Bolivia to the United States. He was able to dissect O’Grady’s argument, refuting key elements. Unfortunately, his rebuttal did not appear until January 30, 2007. Both O’Grady and the responses her articles generate are very worthwhile reading. She tends to mirror the dubious reasoning behind Bush administration decisions. However, in this case, there is dialogue.

Venezuela

The December 2006 reality check evident in ISLA press sources is definitely over (see December 2006 highlights for additional information on this subject.) While December 2006 brought a flurry of in-depth articles from nearly all ISLA sources examining the electoral appeal of Chavez administration reforms on divergent sectors of the population, January 2006 heralded a return to the besieged image of Venezuelans dominating throughout 2006. A quick comparison of headlines from December 2006 and January 2007 provides some insight:

 

   December 2006 headlines

       “Venezuelan High Life: Bulletproof BMW and a Vote for Chavez” –WSJ

        “Venezuela’s Economic Boom Buoys Chavez’s Campaign” –NYT

        “With Chavez, Some Venezuelan Entreprenuers See Opportunity” –WP

        “Elections more about stomachs than ideology” –MH

 

  January 2007 headlines

         “Venezuelan Plan Shakes Investors” –NYT

          “Victim of His Power Grab” –WP

          “Venezuela Inc.’s Hostile Takeover” –NYT

          “Chavez policies fuel shortages” –MH

          “Fidel Chavez” -LAT

Highlights from our December 2006 issue

About Face on Venezuela

     After months of pumping up the Rosales campaign and maligning nearly every social program launched by President Hugo Chavez, press sources monitored by ISLA were forced to do a quick about face in December 2006 or risk looking completely out of touch with reality. Late-November, early December pre-election polls clearly indicated a Chavez win at the polls, and quite possibly a large win. The time had come for a reality check. These journalists needed to face the fact that President Chavez actually enjoyed a higher level of support than previously reported, and that this support crossed class lines. Reporting prior to December gave every indication that the middle-class and wealthy were uniformly anti-Chavez and offered ample space to Chavez opponents among the poor, giving the impression that Rosales stood a good chance of winning the presidential elections. The first week of December 2006 brought unprecedented reporting from nearly all ISLA sources in an effort to explain why some middle class and wealthy Venezuelans would be voting for Chavez, along with a majority of the 25 million Venezuelans classified as poor, setting the stage for a Chavez victory.

     This abrupt change of direction could not have been more precipitous. Although elections were scheduled for December 6th , ISLA first noted  a significant change less than one week earlier, on December 1. Richard Lapper of the Financial Times took on the imminent Chavez win with gusto, writing a lengthy article  (Petro-populism: a third term beckons or Venezuela’s firebrand president) on December 1, 2006, in which he recognized the economic setbacks provoked by work stoppages in 2002/ 2003, as well the economy’s formidable growth since 2004. He also revealed that nearly half of all government spending is dedicated to social programs. Furthermore, Lapper documented a significant boom in consumer and mortgage lending –absolutely not the domain of the poor. Apparently, wealthy and middle-class Venezuelans have taken advantage of caps on interest rates to make purchases using credit and loans, snapping up homes, condos, and BMW’s with renewed vigor. While mentioning that these purchases are linked to the stability of tangibles versus the instability of currency, the bottom line is that business is booming and people from all walks of life have more to spend. The negative aspects of Venezuela’s economy, such as crime, corruption, capital flight and patronage undoubtedly exist and are important. However, while they did set the tone of articles appearing in previous months, they do not capture the spirit of the economy.  In fact, many of the articles from previous months missed the boat entirely. The overall impact of reforms under Chavez has been a level of unparalleled cross-sector economic vibrancy that would be appreciated at polling time, a reality the press had been either unable or unwilling to communicate until the very last minute.

     The Wall Street Journal stepped up to the plate on December 1, 2006 with a lengthy article focused on industrialist Wilmer Ruperti and the emergence of the Boliburgueses –middle-class and wealthy supporters of the Bolivarian revolution. The message is clear –the middle class has reawakened and is on the move. On December 3rd, the Washington Post finally jumped on board with an extensive piece documenting the trajectory of Alejandro Uscategui. Although the Post was the only paper on December 1 to still proclaim that “if” Chavez won it would be because he bought the election with petro-dollars, or cheated, an “about face” was clearly necessary by the 3rd.  As in the articles from other newspapers, we are told by the Post’s Juan Forero in “With Chavez, Some Venezuelan Entrepreneurs See Opportunity” that Chavez does have supporters beyond the poor.

     In fact, the poor are pretty much absent from reporting during the first days of December, having been the focus of previous months, albeit with greater attention directed toward the disillusioned among their ranks.  Nevertheless, while October and November 2006 brought numerous articles on the complaints of low-income Venezuelans, Steven Dudley of the Miami Herald wrote a more objective article on December 2, 2006 documenting why most poor people will probably vote for Chavez. The article was aptly entitled “Election is more about stomachs than ideology.” Dudley asserts that poor Venezuelans are shielded from relatively high inflation (around 17%) by price controls and subsidies. The main vehicle for protecting the poor has been the establishment of mercales -state-run stores offering food at low and reasonable prices. These mercales, located in low-income neighborhoods but open to all shoppers, have allowed the poor to spend 50-55% less on food, according to Data Information Resources, a Caracas-based think tank cited by Dudley. He interviewed a low-income mother of four who indicated that the mercales had significantly improved her family’s quality of life. Dudley also recounts other benefits to the poor: stipends for attending literacy classes and/or returning to school for a high school diploma, as well as free medical care and clinics in poor neighborhoods.

     By the time elections rolled around, ISLA sources had updated readers to the extent that a Chavez victory would no longer be a surprise (which it probably was to television newscast viewers of both the Spanish and English press.)

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